Drake_2008_2abstr
Copyright © 2008 by George Drake. Published by
The Mars Society with permission.
TWO THREATS TO TERRAFORMING MARS AND
A DISCUSSION OF HOW TO COUNTER THEM
George
Drake Ph.C.
ABSTRACT
Terraforming Mars is an
extremely long and difficult undertaking. Minimum estimates for the project are
in the rangeof 300+ years, with the more common
estimates being higher by one to two hundred years. This is a surprise to many,
as the expectations promoted by such pop culture movies as Star Trek and WALL-E
emphasize unlimited technological advances. In fairness, the estimates above
assume only current technology with, at most, moderate assumptions about new
inventions. But, on the other hand, they also assume continuous effort toward
the end goal of terraforming that planet. There are at least two obvious
problems with such an assumption: space debris and politics as usual.